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Saturday, June 16, 2018

If Modi Assassination Plot Letter Is Fake

from the wire
----------------
If Modi Assassination Plot Letter Is Fake, Indian Democracy Is in for Dangerous Times

A two decade-long history of using false allegations, faked evidence, videos and news to manipulate public sentiment proves that the BJP will stop at nothing to ensure its return to power.
If Modi Assassination Plot Letter Is Fake, Indian Democracy Is in for Dangerous Times

If Modi remains true to form, then this is only the start of a witch hunt designed to remove rivals from the field.

The letter allegedly recovered from the house of Rona Wilson, the Delhi-based public relations secretary of the Committee for Release of Political Prisoners (CRPP), which details a meeting in which Maoist leaders ‘decided to assassinate Prime Minister Narendra Modi’, needs to be treated with the utmost of scepticism.

This is not only because of its suspicious convenience, for the discovery has come at a time when the BJP has lost a string of elections and by-elections to an increasingly unified, secular opposition. It is also because the letter contains virtually irrefutable evidence of having been doctored.

Holes in the narrative

Written by someone who signs off as ‘R’, it falls into two completely separate sections with not a single connecting word, reference or idea.

The first section – one single long paragraph – is a “nuts and bolts” discussion of tactics between “comrades”, where every word suggests that it is a part of a continuing conversation over day-to-day issues facing the party leadership. It contains numerous references to past meetings and decisions, to the need to provide relief to Maoist prisoners languishing in jails in Delhi, Maharashtra, Jharkhand, Odisha and Chhattisgarh and to the legal strategy to be employed in their defence. It derides a key Maoist leader “Prashant’ and accuses him of foisting an “egoist agenda” upon the party that has ‘harmed its larger interests”.

It gives details of a programme formulated to defend the wheelchair-bound and 90% disabled professor of English from Delhi University, G.N. Saibaba, who was sentenced to life imprisonment by a sessions court in Gadchiroli, Maharashtra, in March 2017 and to mobilise public opinion in his defence.

At the end of this paragraph, the letter switches registers and refers to a meeting that discussed the need to raise Rs 8 crore to be exchanged for the next batch of M4 rifles and 400,000 rounds of ammunition, at “the APT crossover”.

This stark jump continues in the second section, which is a grand, airy, declaration of strategic aims that is not only devoid of tactical detail, but is filled with inaccuracies.

It begins by saying that “defeating Hindu fascism has been our core agenda and a major concern for the party”. This is factually and textually wrong. The aim of the Maoists has always been “to overthrow the government of India through people’s war”. Its opponent is not specifically Hindu fascism, but any “bourgeois” government that oppresses the poor.

Second, while the first section talks about other senior party members in familiar terms, using first names like Bijoyda, Prashant, Ashok B., Amit B. Seema, Siraj and Sirohi, the second contains only one reference to a specific person. It says, “Several leaders from secret cells as well as open party organisations have raised this issue very strongly. We are working to consolidate ties with like-minded organisations, political parties, representatives of minorities across the country”. It then goes on: “Comrade Kisan, and few other senior leaders have proposed concrete steps to end Modi Raj. We are thinking along another Rajiv Gandhi type incident”.

This allegation does not contain a single specific reference, but seeks to incriminate each and every “secular” political party NGO, and human rights activist in a plot to assassinate the prime minister. But it then makes one gigantic mistake: It claims that this has been endorsed by one “Comrade Kisan”. The purported letter writer shows no awareness that Comrade Kisan is the very person whose “egoist agenda” he has derided a few lines earlier. For Kisan and Prashant are one and the same person — Prashant Bose, reportedly the second in command of the Maoist movement in the country.

Why should ‘R’ have used two different names for the same person in an internal report to a fellow Maoist leader? It could be that he had a momentary loss of memory. But it could also be that the second section was drafted by someone who did not know that Prashant and Kisan are the same person.

The letter allegedly written by a Maoist leader, which the police claim they recovered from Rona Wilson. Credit: ANI

An incriminating record

That is what makes the letter almost certainly a fake. Had this been a lone episode of its kind, it would not have been conclusive. But the BJP’s record of concocting fake videos to slander Modi’s opponents and inflate his image over the past four years makes it very likely.

On February 11, 2016, the Delhi police had arrested Kanhaiya Kumar, the then president of the Jawaharlal Nehru University Students’ Union on the charge, itself questionable, of raising anti-India slogans during a speech on the campus two days earlier. In a forensic examination carried out at the beginning of March by Truth Labs in Chennai, the video was found to have been doctored, with voices of people who had not been present at the meeting overlaid upon Kanhaiya Kumar’s at a crucial point. By then, Kanhaiya Kumar had been beaten up and humiliated by lawyers belonging to the RSS’ Adhivakta Sangh in a police station while the police stood by and watched, and spent 17 days in jail.

In June last year, when the prime minister was on a visit to the US, and had been invited to a “working dinner” by President Donald Trump, the image makers of the BJP uploaded a video of Modi’s cavalcade driving through the empty, heavily-policed streets of Washington DC to the White house with a caption claiming that this was how Modi had made the US respect a nation of 1.3 billion people. The video was later found to have been of a cavalcade of former US president Barack Obama driving through the streets of San Francisco in 2010.

Finally, two fake videos surfaced on the eve of the Gujarat assembly elections in December last year. Days before the final round of voting, a fake video began to circulate on YouTube, showing Rahul Gandhi signing his nomination papers at the party office in front of a portrait of Aurangzeb. The video had been morphed from the real footage which showed that the portrait was of Mahatma Gandhi.

Hard on its heels, on December 4, NewsX aired an ‘exclusive’ of a Facebook post which purported to show a retired “Pakistani army Director -General who served in its intelligence” – one Arshad Rafiq – declaring gleefully that ‘their man’ Ahmed Patel was soon going to become the chief minister of Gujarat. The post contained a clip of Rahul Gandhi wearing a Muslim skull cap and saying “Mubarak”. When contacted by the Indian Express, Rafiq, who once posted a photo of himself holding a cigar and telling ‘all smoking friends’ that smoking after keeping Roza (fasting during Ramzan) was a pleasure not to be denied, said that he had not written any post on Ahmed Patel, but added “Par agar Modi saheb apney shikhast ka sehra mere sar pe bandhna chah rahey hain (if Modi wants to give me credit for his defeat), he is most welcome”.

These doctored videos and posts show that the BJP will stop at nothing to ensure its return to power. But they do not reveal how far Modi, in particular, is prepared to go to maintain his grip on power. To grasp that, one needs to go back to the aftermath of the Gujarat riots of 2002, when he was the chief minister and Amit Shah was his home minister. Modi’s handling of the riots, in which a thousand Muslims were killed in a matter of days, is mired in controversy till today. But what is not in doubt is the callous ruthlessness with which he stoked Gujarati chauvinism even while the killing was going on, and claimed that the nation’s condemnation was an attack on Gujarati pride and on Hinduism.

Not only did he refrain from restraining the mobs, but he advanced the state assembly elections by four months to checkmate the then prime minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee’s move to remove him from the chief ministership of the state.

Having succeeded in doing this, he continued to shore up his position within the party and the nation by using the bogey of a Pakistan-aided attempt to assassinate him in revenge for Ahmedabad, to keep Gujarati chauvinism at fever pitch. One consequence of this was a carte blanche to the Gujarat police to kill Muslim suspects picked up under suspicion of malfeasance. This turned some of its elements into a killing machine: over the next four years, there were no fewer than 22 such “encounters” at least four of which were subsequently found to have had nothing whatever to do with killing Modi, or taking revenge for the 2002 riots.

It is this cynical, two decade-long, use of false allegations, faked evidence, videos and news to manipulate public sentiment that makes the current allegations against Rona Wilson and the other ‘Naxals’ arrested by the Maharashtra police in a BJP-ruled state so disturbing. The Shiv Sena journal Saamna called them ‘laughable’, but if Modi remains true to form, then this allegation could be only the beginning of a witch hunt designed to remove rivals from the field on charges of sedition, treason or waging war against the state, as a prelude to raising Hindu chauvinism to fever pitch before the 2019 general elections.

If that is indeed the plan, then Indian democracy’s most dangerous moments lie only months ahead.

prem shankar jha
----
Prem Shankar Jha is a senior journalist and author of several books.

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this is an article in the wire

Monday, June 11, 2018

edraac family meet

kavitha
 by krishnakumar
president kairali... kottappuram

കാൽക്കീഴിലാക്കാം പ്രകൃതിയെ എന്നത്
 മർത്യന്റെ വ്യാമോഹ ചിന്ത മാത്രം
മർത്യന്റെ മസ്തിഷ്ക  ശേഷിക്കെളുതല്ല
വിശ്വ പ്രകൃതിയെ കീഴടക്കീടുവാൻ

lhc പോലുള്ള സങ്കീണർന്ന വിദ്യയാൽ
ദൈവ കണത്തെയും  പാട്ടിലാക്കീടുവാൻ
സാധിക്കുമെന്നുള്ള ഗർവുമായിട്ടല്ലോ
സഞ്ചരിച്ചീടുന്നു ശാസ്ത്ര കുതുകികൾ

എങ്കിലും ദൃഷ്ടിക്കു ഗോചരമായുള്ള
ചിന്തയിൽ പ്രാമുഖ്യമൊട്ടും ലഭിക്കാത്ത
സൂക്ഷാനുജീവി തൻ സേവനമില്ലാതെ
സുസാധ്യമാകില്ല ജീവിതം ഭൂമിയിൽ

മാരകമാകും വിഷ പദാർത്ഥങ്ങളെ
ഭക്ഷിച്ചതിനെ വിഷമുക്തമാക്കുന്ന
ബാക്ടീരിയ എന്ന ജീവിയോടെത്രയോ
വേണം കടപ്പാട് മർത്യനു ചിന്തയിൽ

മാലിന്യ വസ്തുക്കളൊക്കെയും ഭക്ഷിച്ചു
കാഷ്ഠിച്ചു ഭൂമിയെ ഭൂയിഷ്ഠമാക്കുന്ന
മണ്ണിര തന്റെ പ്രവർത്തനമില്ലെങ്കിൽ
ഊഷര ഭൂമിയായ് തീരുമീ ഭൂതലം

കുഞ്ഞു കുസുമങ്ങൾ ഓരോന്നിലും ചെന്ന്
തേനുണ്ട് കൂടെ പരാഗണം ചെയ്യുന്ന
തേനീച്ച ഷഡ്പദജാലങ്ങൾ ഇല്ലെങ്കിൽ
ഉണ്ടാകയില്ലൊരു  കായോ ഫലങ്ങളോ

ആണവ വസ്തുക്കൾകാന്ത തരംഗങ്ങൾ
മാരകമായുള്ള  രാസ പദാർത്ഥങ്ങൾ
ഒക്കെയും സൃഷ്ടിച്ചു ദുഷ്കരമാക്കുന്നു
ജീവജാലങ്ങൾക്ക് ഭൂമിയിൽ ജീവിതം

ആഗോളതാപനം കൊണ്ടും പഠിക്കാതെ
ആർത്തലച്ചീടും സുനാമികൾ കാണാതെ
ഭൂമി തൻ മാറ് പിളർന്നു ലഭിക്കുന്നൊ--
രിന്ദനം കത്തിച്ചു മുന്നേറി ടുന്നു നാം

കുട്ടികൾ ചെറ്റു കുസൃതി കാട്ടീടുകിൽ
കാരുണ്യമോടു  ക്ഷമിക്കുമേതമ്മയും
ക്രൂരതയിത്രമേലാകുമ്പോഴാവുമോ
ഭൂമി മാതാവിന് പോലും ക്ഷമിക്കുവാൻ

ഒക്കെ ക്ഷമിക്കുമീ പുണ്യ ധരിത്രിയും
തൻ ക്ഷമയറ്റു പോയൊന്നു കയർക്കുകിൽ
ഗർവോടു സൃഷ്ടിച്ചു കാത്തവയൊക്കെയും
കൂടിയീ  നമ്മളും ഭസ്മമായ് തീർന്നിടാം

സങ്കല്പ സീമക്കുമേറെ അതീതമാം
സങ്കീർണതയാർന്ന വിശ്വ പ്രകൃതിയെ
തൊട്ടറിഞ്ഞൊട്ടതിനോടൊത്തു  ചേർന്ന്
കാലം കഴിക്കുകയാണു കാമ്യം

Sunday, June 3, 2018

petrol price.... a virtual debate

a real debate is a forlorn proposition. times are bad.
here is a virtual one. with retorts like you are a traitor,
you are against the majority, you probably are a terrorist
in the making, are blanked out to conserve space.

-- you have a justification for petrol tax , don't you ?
== yes for certain . we use it to build India .
-- toilets to be specific ?
== and roads and gas connections to the poor.

-- well taken. are you sure it is not for the rafale deal ?
== you should know that most of petrol tax is a cess
meant for a specific purpose.
-- great. then what goes to finance the rafale deal
and the like ?
== ( blanked out )

-- i presume it is the general tax.
== not a great discovery . but you still deserve a pat.
for coming to your senses.
-- can i presume that this general tax money can't be
used for development projects ?
== not enough . india needs much more.
-- true. but think of the savings if the rafale price
which was fixed thru year long negotiations
had not been upped 3 fold during a
week long visit .
== (blanked out )

-- or if demonetisation loss was estimated properly
before the midnight strike ?
or if the great bank defaulters had been chased
more effectively inside the country ?
== (blanked out ) (blanked out )

-- isn't it a little strange that we get to know how a cess
is spent and not the tax money ? and every question
is rebuffed with answers like secrets of the state or
not in public interest .
== (blanked out )

-- thank you . a final question . if petrol tax is further
raised to say 200% , your justification as above
would still hold good . would you like to keep it or change it ?

( sorry folks i didn't ask this final question . this is just for
you and me )

mathai
03 jun 2018

Tuesday, May 8, 2018

neat neat exams

an old facebook post . likely to be read again . prompted probably by latest performance. which is not in public domain yet .
------------------------
neat exam...

Isn't there something called sense of proportion . if you start making rules to prevent all those exceptional accidents it is not adminstration . It is not even common sense. It is in fact escapism. The easy way out. Shirking responsibility . 

The examiner should have used his common sense . he should have decided that a metal hook in the bra or in the undergarment is not  a copying gadget. Or  a hidden bomb. That is called sense of duty. Not just blindly following a rule , any rule , without trying to understand what it is meant for. Despicable , to say the least. 


To those who try to justify it, just one question . if the girl for whom the scanner beeped was sent in with the bra or the undergarment what would have happened in the worst case. If the heavens  fall we should be able to support it on our shoulders . and that is what goes into the definition of human beings. The minimum requirement.


And a word to those who excel in framing rules to plug all the conceivable loop holes. You are sir at your silliest best. You have probably not heard of the risk- restriction trade of. You have to decide where to draw the line. Simply bringing in restrictions to ward of 100% of the risks .... is not risk management. It is not management at all. It is just a matching game which school kids enjoy playing.

Monday, May 7, 2018

the write off debate

write off or balance sheet cleaning ?

an old post in facebook . reproduced here as the issue is still relevant and live.

---------------
i tried for an open debate on write off versus balance sheet cleaning. as usual no takers. not even one entry. i am convinced that face book is no place for serious discussions. for the 7th or 8th time
.
here is my view again. the debate post is reproduced in the end.


1. loan waiver.
this is the ultimate. the loan is written off. the borrower is duly informed. no more recovery steps. the adjustment need not always be from accumulated profit or net worth. govt can also foot the bill.

2. write off.
the loan liability is set off in bank's books by adjusting provision.
which is nothing but accumulated profit or portion of net worth renamed for this purpose. borrower is not absolved and hence not informed. recovery steps continue. whatever is recovered goes directly to the profit of the bank. not even routed thru the borrowal account. ( this however needs to be confirmed. i am not that sure. ). loan liability will appear in credit rating sites like cibil as the adjustment is done in bank's books only.

3. balance sheet cleaning.
frankly i don't know if it is any different from write off as above.
i am sure the confusion will be maintained at any cost. as this probably is the easiest tool to mislead public on huge bad loans and their imminent write off.


i repeat my earlier suggestion. balance sheet of banks should compulsorily declare these write offs  (  in the form of notes as they are off balance sheet items ) and carry it forward to the next balance sheet to reflect the accumulated position.

-----------------
my earlier post
calling for debate
----------
This write off issue is getting into muddy waters . even my close friends , experts themselves , say technical adjustment or cleaning the balance sheet is different. Let's start a discussion. 1. Define loan waiver ,write off and cleaning of balance sheet . 2. Establish the linkage if any and determine the chronological order , that is , what comes first and what follows 3. Discuss the impact of each on the bank. 4. Discuss the impact of each on the borrower .

let's debate.

 Before signing off I put the following suggestion too for debate. Balance sheet of banks should compulsorily have a note specifying the details of loans waived, written off and cleaned in the last 5 years.

Thursday, March 22, 2018

women's day suggestions

women's day suggestions. consolidated.

7. No threat is any threat. So if anyone tries to blackmail you ask him to get lost.
6. wear your confidence. stay confident and show it too.
5. socialise and make it a habit. thus increase your support among good people .
4. let us reintroduce rustic justice system. avoid courts. a small village committee will do .
3. let them mingle. familiarity breeds respect. help our boys and girls be friends early enough.
2. keep up a running dialogue. encourage children to share everything with parents.
1. make our girls brave. do not instill fear in them when they are children .

Wednesday, March 14, 2018

തെറ്റിന്റെ കുറ്റമാണെല്ലാം

തെറ്റിന്റെ കുറ്റമാണെല്ലാം
ശരി എപ്പോഴും ശരി തന്നെ
ശരി കൂടെ ഉണ്ടെങ്കിൽ പിന്നെ
ഒന്നുമേ ചെയ്യേണ്ടതില്ല
ചെയ്യുന്നതൊക്കെയും തെറ്റ്
ശരി മാറി ദൂരേക്ക് നിൽക്കും
തെറ്റിന്റെ കുറ്റമാണെല്ലാം
ഈ ലോകം ഇങ്ങനെ ആകാൻ

ഇല്ലായിരുന്നു തെറ്റെങ്കിൽ
ഒന്നുമുണ്ടാകുമായിരുന്നില്ല
ഈ ലോകമേ ഇല്ല പിന്നെ
ഇല്ലാതെ പോകും ശരിയും
ശരിയാണ് തെറ്റിന്റെ തെറ്റ്
എന്നൊക്കെ വേണേൽ പറയാം
ഒന്ന് തിരിഞ്ഞു മറിഞ്ഞാൽ
തെറ്റും ശരിഎന്ന് കാണാം

ശരിയുടെ കൂടെ പിറന്നു
ആരുമില്ലാതെ വളർന്നു
ഒറ്റയ്ക്ക് നിന്നു പൊരുതി
ഒപ്പത്തിനൊപ്പവും എത്തി
എങ്കിലും എന്തോ കുറവ്
തെറ്റിന്റെ ഭാഗമായുണ്ട്
എല്ലാം ശരിയായി തീരും
കാലവും മാറുക അല്ലെ

എപ്പോഴും ദൂരേക്ക് മാറും
ശരിയെ എനിക്കിഷ്ടമല്ല
കൂടെ നടക്കുന്ന തെറ്റ്
എത്രയോ ഭേദമാണിഷ്ടാ